Forecast: Nadal vs Thiem French Open Final

Forecast: Nadal vs Thiem French Open Final

  • Nadal: 79%
  • Thiem: 21%

Contributing factors: Previous French Open performances, clay record, recent form, H2H and ranking. 


As is the case with any clay match, the statistics point heavily towards a Nadal win. 

Nadal currently leads their head to head 6-3 (all of which have been on clay), including 2-0 in their previous French Open meetings. Nadal also leads 2-0 in their previous meetings in finals. 

Further troubling statistics for Thiem include Nadal's perfect record in French Open finals and his perfect record against one handed backhanded players at the French Open.

First time Grand Slam finalists also tend to fair poorly, out of the last 10 first time finalists only 2 have won their final and 1 of these was against another first time finalist. 

However all hope is not lost for Thiem as he has the 2nd most wins against Nadal on clay (after Djokovic). The weather forecast for Paris on Sunday shows conditions that will be favourable for Thiem.

Qualitative analysis of the two players during the tournament has also been considered. 

 

Image: Sylvain Weber

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